Kyle Livinghouse — Puebla Regional champion (M-C)

Sneasler

Set details

Item

White Herb

Ability

Unburden

Nature / EVs

Adamant · 2 HP / 32 Atk / 32 Spe (estimated)

Role

Fast physical attacker

Moves

• — Close Combat
• — Dire Claw
• — Rock Tomb
• — Protect

Whimsicott

Set details

Item

Focus Sash

Ability

Prankster

Nature / EVs

Timid · 2 HP / 32 SpA / 32 Spe (estimated)

Role

Tailwind and Encore (Prankster)

Moves

• — Protect
• — Encore
• — Moonblast
• — Tailwind

Charizard

Set details

Item

Charizardite Y

Ability

Blaze

Nature / EVs

Modest · 2 HP / 32 SpA / 32 Spe (estimated)

Role

Mega 1: sun and special damage

Moves

• — Weather Ball
• — Protect
• — Heat Wave
• — Solar Beam

Kingambit

Set details

Item

Chople Berry

Ability

Defiant

Nature / EVs

Adamant · 32 HP / 32 Atk / 2 Spe (estimated)

Role

Priority and Intimidate punisher

Moves

• — Sucker Punch
• — Iron Head
• — Kowtow Cleave
• — Low Kick

Garchomp

Set details

Item

Life Orb

Ability

Rough Skin

Nature / EVs

Jolly · 2 HP / 32 Atk / 32 Spe (estimated)

Role

Spread physical attacker

Moves

• — Rock Slide
• — Earthquake
• — Dragon Claw
• — Protect

Froslass

Set details

Item

Froslassite

Ability

Cursed Body

Nature / EVs

Timid · 2 HP / 32 SpA / 32 Spe (estimated)

Role

Mega 2: Aurora Veil and Blizzard

Moves

• — Blizzard
• — Aurora Veil
• — Shadow Ball
• — Protect

Strengths

• — Very high base speed (169–189) before Tailwind doubles it.
• — Two Megas with different plans: sun damage or Aurora Veil with Blizzard.
• — Prankster Encore stops Trick Room setters and Protect users.

Weaknesses

• — Sun Trick Room (Ugarte) flips its speed advantage: 3 % in simulations.
• — Salamence + Whimsicott + Kingambit (Kelsch, Komen) win the Tailwind and Intimidate exchange: 8–10 %. Speed Boost Mega Blaziken with Mega Raichu Y (Holowiak): 5 %.
• — Whimsicott and Mega Froslass go down in one hit very easily: 19 and 20 of 93 field attacks are guaranteed OHKOs.
• — Only Kingambit is slow: against Trick Room it has no other pieces to take advantage of it.

Game plan

• — Typical lead: Whimsicott + Sneasler or Garchomp. Turn 1: priority Tailwind plus a strong attack; Encore if the opponent tries Trick Room or Protects.
• — Pick the Mega at Team Preview: Froslass against Dragon/Ground/Grass (Garchomp, Salamence, Rillaboom), Charizard Y against Steel and Grass or to overwrite an opposing weather.
• — Double attack during the 4 Tailwind turns; keep Kingambit for the endgame or to punish Intimidate.
• — If the opponent sets Trick Room, Protect and Encore to burn turns instead of attacking blindly.

Limitations

• — EVs are not public (open team lists): every stat, speed tier and calc uses estimated standard spreads.
• — It does not claim a real win rate: simulated games use the same heuristic AI on both sides: they measure how the sheets interact, not the player's skill or the real difficulty of the matchup between humans.
• — With 40 games per opponent, differences under ~15 points are not significant; extreme results (0 % or 100 %) mostly reflect the AI repeating the same plan.
• — Damage calcs are Showdown's, with no crits, no Intimidate and no screens; incoming attacks are computed without weather unless the attacker sets it.
• — Team Auditor Pro v4 is static and does not yet load the M-C ruleset: legality was checked separately with the Showdown validator.
• — The player's games, leads and Mega choices per round are not published: the plans on this page are editorial readings, not attributed history.
• — The Extremo AI counter comes from a small sample of simulated games: it is a starting point to test, not a guaranteed recipe.

Tool

Team Auditor Pro v4

Scope

Exact sheet with estimated spreads

Output

77.5 (B+) base; 78.3 (A) with Mega Charizard Y and 78.4 (A) with Mega Froslass; roles 96, offensive coverage 100, speed 85, Protect 5/6.

Confidence

Medium

Publishable

Yes, as a static audit with visible limits.

Tool

Showdown simulations vs top 8

Scope

23 teams × 40 games

Output

60% wins in 920 simulated games against the real top 8 (23 teams)

Confidence

Medium-low (heuristic pilot)

Publishable

Yes, as direction with the method visible.

Tool

Showdown damage calcs

Scope

Champion attacks vs the 12 most common top 8 Pokémon and every top 8 attack into each member

Output

558 incoming and 120 outgoing calcs

Confidence

High for the formula; medium for spreads

Publishable

Yes.

Tool

Analitykos Extremo team builder

Scope

Full M-C pool, tournament set library, simulated selection

Output

5/8 simulated wins against the champion

Confidence

Low-medium (small sample)

Publishable

Yes, as a starting point to test.

Attacker

Sneasler

Move

Rock Tomb

Target

Charizard-Mega-Y

Damage range

118.7%–141.9% (184–220 HP)

Scenario

Showdown calc · sun · estimated EVs

Competitive implication

guaranteed OHKO.

Caveat

No crits, no Intimidate or screens; the real EVs of both sides may change thresholds near 50 % and 100 %.

Attacker

Whimsicott

Move

Moonblast

Target

Garchomp

Damage range

72.4%–85.4% (134–158 HP)

Scenario

Showdown calc · sun · estimated EVs

Competitive implication

guaranteed 2HKO.

Caveat

No crits, no Intimidate or screens; the real EVs of both sides may change thresholds near 50 % and 100 %.

Attacker

Charizard-Mega-Y

Move

Heat Wave

Target

Rillaboom

Damage range

150.7%–177.8% (312–368 HP)

Scenario

Showdown calc · sun · spread (×0.75) · estimated EVs

Competitive implication

guaranteed OHKO.

Caveat

No crits, no Intimidate or screens; the real EVs of both sides may change thresholds near 50 % and 100 %.

Attacker

Kingambit

Move

Kowtow Cleave

Target

Basculegion

Damage range

118.8%–140.1% (234–276 HP)

Scenario

Showdown calc · sun · estimated EVs

Competitive implication

guaranteed OHKO.

Caveat

No crits, no Intimidate or screens; the real EVs of both sides may change thresholds near 50 % and 100 %.

Attacker

Garchomp

Move

Earthquake

Target

Sneasler

Damage range

159.2%–188.5% (250–296 HP)

Scenario

Showdown calc · sun · spread (×0.75) · estimated EVs

Competitive implication

guaranteed OHKO.

Caveat

No crits, no Intimidate or screens; the real EVs of both sides may change thresholds near 50 % and 100 %.

Attacker

Froslass-Mega

Move

Blizzard

Target

Garchomp

Damage range

181.6%–216.2% (336–400 HP)

Scenario

Showdown calc · snow · spread (×0.75) · estimated EVs

Competitive implication

guaranteed OHKO.

Caveat

No crits, no Intimidate or screens; the real EVs of both sides may change thresholds near 50 % and 100 %.

Threat

Prankster Tailwind

Pressure

Goes before any normal attack and doubles the Speed of an already fast team.

Primary answers

• — Trick Room (secured with Armor Tail or Follow Me)
• — Your own Tailwind on the same turn
• — KO Whimsicott: Sludge Bomb, Gunk Shot or sun Heat Wave

Failure mode

Attacking Whimsicott with a single Pokémon while it holds Focus Sash.

Test plan

Double-target or use a multi-hit move on Whimsicott on turn 1.

Evidence

Simulations: 3 % against Ugarte's sun Trick Room.

Threat

Mega Froslass: Aurora Veil + Blizzard

Pressure

Cuts incoming damage for 5 turns and pressures Dragon, Ground and Grass with spread Blizzard.

Primary answers

• — Fire and Steel: Incineroar Flare Blitz 188–222 %
• — Rock and Dark hits
• — Brick Break or Psychic Fangs to break the veil

Failure mode

Letting the veil go up for free and playing 5 turns at a disadvantage.

Test plan

Bring a fast Fire or Steel attacker for it.

Evidence

20 of 93 top 8 attacks are a guaranteed OHKO on it in the calcs.

Threat

Defiant Kingambit

Pressure

Punishes Intimidate and Parting Shot with +2 Attack and closes with Sucker Punch.

Primary answers

• — Do not use Intimidate while it is on the field
• — Fire and Fighting: Heat Wave 129–152 %, Close Combat
• — Protect or attack instead of using status to read Sucker Punch

Failure mode

Auto-Intimidate in the lead: you give it +2.

Test plan

Have a lead plan without Intimidate when Kingambit is on their sheet.

Evidence

Open team list: Defiant Kingambit with Chople Berry.