Javier Varela — Gdańsk Regional champion (M-C)

Gholdengo

Set details

Item

Life Orb

Ability

Good as Gold

Nature / EVs

Modest · 32 HP / 32 SpA / 2 Spe (estimated)

Role

Special attacker with setup

Moves

• — Shadow Ball
• — Make It Rain
• — Nasty Plot
• — Protect

Excadrill

Set details

Item

Focus Sash

Ability

Sand Rush

Nature / EVs

Adamant · 2 HP / 32 Atk / 32 Spe (estimated)

Role

Sand abuser

Moves

• — High Horsepower
• — Iron Head
• — Rock Slide
• — Protect

Tyranitar

Set details

Item

Tyranitarite

Ability

Sand Stream

Nature / EVs

Jolly · 2 HP / 32 Atk / 32 Spe (estimated)

Role

Mega 1: sand and setup

Moves

• — Rock Slide
• — Knock Off
• — Dragon Dance
• — Protect

Staraptor

Set details

Item

Staraptite

Ability

Intimidate

Nature / EVs

Jolly · 2 HP / 32 Atk / 32 Spe (estimated)

Role

Mega 2: Tailwind and Intimidate

Moves

• — Brave Bird
• — Close Combat
• — Tailwind
• — Protect

Sinistcha

Set details

Item

Rocky Helmet

Ability

Hospitality

Nature / EVs

Bold · 32 HP / 32 Def / 2 SpD (estimated)

Role

Redirection and support

Moves

• — Matcha Gotcha
• — Strength Sap
• — Rage Powder
• — Protect

Milotic

Set details

Item

Sitrus Berry

Ability

Competitive

Nature / EVs

Calm · 32 HP / 2 Def / 32 SpD (estimated)

Role

Special wall

Moves

• — Scald
• — Ice Beam
• — Icy Wind
• — Protect

Strengths

• — Wins the weather war against sun and rain when Tyranitar comes in last.
• — Rage Powder and Hospitality protect Dragon Dance and Nasty Plot turns.
• — Competitive Milotic and Good as Gold Gholdengo punish the meta's support moves.

Weaknesses

• — Mega Floette and special Fairy damage: against Alex Soto (Floette + Sinistcha + Delphox) it wins only 10 %; Moonblast does 182–215 % to Mega Staraptor.
• — No Trick Room or Taunt of its own: teams with an opposing Sinistcha or Farigiraf remove the Tailwind advantage.
• — Excadrill and Tyranitar share Water, Fighting and Ground weaknesses: Mega Blaziken Close Combat does 210–251 % to Mega Tyranitar.
• — Liquid Voice Primarina and Mega Raichu Y with Rillaboom (Renzo Navarro): 15 % in simulation.

Game plan

• — Against sun or rain: keep Tyranitar to come in after the opposing setter and take the weather.
• — Setup lead: Sinistcha + Tyranitar or Gholdengo; Rage Powder on turn 1 and Dragon Dance or Nasty Plot.
• — Fast lead: Staraptor + Excadrill or Gholdengo with Tailwind and Intimidate, to double attack before the opponent answers.
• — Milotic comes in against opposing Intimidate or Snarl and controls with Icy Wind; Excadrill closes in sand.

Limitations

• — EVs are not public (open team lists): every stat, speed tier and calc uses estimated standard spreads.
• — It does not claim a real win rate: simulated games use the same heuristic AI on both sides: they measure how the sheets interact, not the player's skill or the real difficulty of the matchup between humans.
• — With 40 games per opponent, differences under ~15 points are not significant; extreme results (0 % or 100 %) mostly reflect the AI repeating the same plan.
• — Damage calcs are Showdown's, with no crits, no Intimidate and no screens; incoming attacks are computed without weather unless the attacker sets it.
• — Team Auditor Pro v4 is static and does not yet load the M-C ruleset: legality was checked separately with the Showdown validator.
• — The player's games, leads and Mega choices per round are not published: the plans on this page are editorial readings, not attributed history.
• — The Extremo AI counter comes from a small sample of simulated games: it is a starting point to test, not a guaranteed recipe.

Tool

Team Auditor Pro v4

Scope

Exact sheet with estimated spreads

Output

71.4 (B+) base; 71.6 with Mega Tyranitar and 70.8 with Mega Staraptor; roles 96, offensive coverage 100, speed 85, Protect 6/6, type defense 20.

Confidence

Medium

Publishable

Yes, as a static audit with visible limits.

Tool

Showdown simulations vs top 8

Scope

22 teams × 40 games

Output

67% wins in 880 simulated games against the real top 8 (22 teams)

Confidence

Medium-low (heuristic pilot)

Publishable

Yes, as direction with the method visible.

Tool

Showdown damage calcs

Scope

Champion attacks vs the 12 most common top 8 Pokémon and every top 8 attack into each member

Output

516 incoming and 104 outgoing calcs

Confidence

High for the formula; medium for spreads

Publishable

Yes.

Tool

Analitykos Extremo team builder

Scope

Full M-C pool, tournament set library, simulated selection

Output

5/8 simulated wins against the champion

Confidence

Low-medium (small sample)

Publishable

Yes, as a starting point to test.

Attacker

Gholdengo

Move

Make It Rain

Target

Whimsicott

Damage range

205.1%–240.9% (281–330 HP)

Scenario

Showdown calc · sand · spread (×0.75) · estimated EVs

Competitive implication

guaranteed OHKO.

Caveat

No crits, no Intimidate or screens; the real EVs of both sides may change thresholds near 50 % and 100 %.

Attacker

Excadrill

Move

High Horsepower

Target

Sneasler

Damage range

175.8%–207.6% (276–326 HP)

Scenario

Showdown calc · sand · estimated EVs

Competitive implication

guaranteed OHKO.

Caveat

No crits, no Intimidate or screens; the real EVs of both sides may change thresholds near 50 % and 100 %.

Attacker

Tyranitar-Mega

Move

Rock Slide

Target

Charizard-Mega-Y

Damage range

178.1%–211.6% (276–328 HP)

Scenario

Showdown calc · sand · spread (×0.75) · estimated EVs

Competitive implication

guaranteed OHKO.

Caveat

No crits, no Intimidate or screens; the real EVs of both sides may change thresholds near 50 % and 100 %.

Attacker

Staraptor-Mega

Move

Brave Bird

Target

Sneasler

Damage range

206.4%–244.6% (324–384 HP)

Scenario

Showdown calc · sand · estimated EVs

Competitive implication

guaranteed OHKO.

Caveat

No crits, no Intimidate or screens; the real EVs of both sides may change thresholds near 50 % and 100 %.

Attacker

Sinistcha

Move

Matcha Gotcha

Target

Basculegion

Damage range

51.8%–60.9% (102–120 HP)

Scenario

Showdown calc · sand · spread (×0.75) · estimated EVs

Competitive implication

guaranteed 2HKO.

Caveat

No crits, no Intimidate or screens; the real EVs of both sides may change thresholds near 50 % and 100 %.

Attacker

Milotic

Move

Ice Beam

Target

Garchomp

Damage range

84.3%–101.6% (156–188 HP)

Scenario

Showdown calc · sand · estimated EVs

Competitive implication

possible OHKO.

Caveat

No crits, no Intimidate or screens; the real EVs of both sides may change thresholds near 50 % and 100 %.

Threat

Mega Tyranitar Dragon Dance behind Rage Powder

Pressure

If the setup is free, +1 Tyranitar outspeeds and hits both opponents with Rock Slide.

Primary answers

• — Fighting and Water hits: Blaziken or Sneasler Close Combat (183–251 %)
• — Attacks that ignore redirection (spread moves or Stalwart)
• — Encore or Taunt before the setup

Failure mode

Single-targeting Tyranitar while Sinistcha redirects.

Test plan

Double-target Sinistcha (Fire or Flying) or use spread attacks.

Evidence

Calcs: 8 of 86 top 8 attacks are a guaranteed OHKO on Mega Tyranitar.

Threat

Staraptor Tailwind

Pressure

Intimidate on entry and 4 turns of Tailwind for Excadrill, Gholdengo and Tyranitar.

Primary answers

• — Trick Room (flips it)
• — Special Fairy or Electric: Moonblast 182–215 %, Zap Cannon 161–190 %
• — Defiant or Competitive against the Intimidate

Failure mode

Spending turn 1 on Protect while Tailwind goes up.

Test plan

Fast special hit on Staraptor or Trick Room on turn 1.

Evidence

Simulations: 10–35 % against the Mega Floette teams with Rillaboom or Sinistcha in the top 8.

Threat

Nasty Plot Gholdengo

Pressure

Good as Gold makes it immune to Encore, Yawn and Parting Shot; at +2 Make It Rain sweeps.

Primary answers

• — Fire, Ground or Dark: Flare Blitz 112–167 %, Kowtow Cleave 114–137 %
• — Deal damage before the setup
• — Taunt does not work (Good as Gold)

Failure mode

Trying to stop it with status moves.

Test plan

Bring a Fire or Dark attacker for the Nasty Plot turn.

Evidence

Open team list: Modest Life Orb Gholdengo with Nasty Plot.